Saturday, January 18, 2020
To what extent was the Crimean War (1853 â⬠1856) ââ¬Ëdisastrously planned and poorly executedââ¬â¢ (Economist 2014)
Introduction This essay examines the claim that the Crimean War (1853-1856) was ââ¬Ëdisastrously planned and poorly executedââ¬â¢ (Economist 2014). The first section looks at the circumstances out of which the war arose, providing some background to the conflict while suggesting that from its inception the war was characterised by errors in judgment and miscommunication. The next section proceeds to discuss the many naval blunders that took place during the war, looking both at the Crimea as well as the less commonly discussed Far East. This is followed by a consideration of the land operations of the conflict, paying particular attention to actions of the British. The analysis then turns to the provisioning of the Allied and Russian forces, as well as the quality of services such as medical care. Finally, the last section briefly considers the consequences of the war for the parties involved. It is concluded that the Crimean War was characterised by an unusually large number of errors in t erms of planning and execution. Poor planning and organisation can arguably be seen from the outbreak of war. The desire to access the Mediterranean had been a long-standing ambition of Russiaââ¬â¢s by the mid-19th century (Economist 2014; Lambert 2011). Thus the weakness of the Ottoman Empire in the period was seized upon, partially concealed, of course, by excuses about the persecution of Christian minorities in the Ottoman Empire. The backdrop to this was a broader dispute about who should rule the Holy Land: Orthodox Russia or Catholic France (Clough 1964). The Turkish-Russian dispute included several lacklustre, abortive attempts at peaceful resolution through diplomacy, after which the Russian Army invaded Moldavia and Wallachia (parts of modern-day Moldova and Romania) on 2 July 1853, sinking the Turkish fleet at Sinope in 1853. This was followed by a Turkish declaration of war on 5 October of the same year (Economist 2014). However, the actions of Russia were to an extent the result of a miscalculation. In spite of a caustic public reaction in Britain and France, the Allied response to the invasion was a cautious one to begin with, characterised by dithering, uncertain diplomacy (Economist 2014). This ââ¬Ëmisled Russia into believing that it could continue its aggression against the Ottomans without consequencesââ¬â¢, and Britain and France unexpectedly declared war in March 1854 (Economist 2014). The conflict then escalated when the Kingdom of Sardinia-Piedmont joined the war against Russia the following year. A degree of poor coordination and misunderstanding can therefore be seen from the outset. For Britain and France, this took the form of confused, uncertain policy; for Russia, it was a misinterpretation of the likelihood that other parties would join the war (Lambert 2011). Clough (1964: 917) makes this point succinctly, arguing that war arose from ââ¬ËNapoleonââ¬â¢s search for presti ge; Nicholasââ¬â¢s quest for control over the Straits; his naive miscalculation of the probable reaction of the European powers; the failure of those powers to make their position and the pressure of public opinion in Britain and Constantinople at crucial momentsââ¬â¢. For Clough (1964), therefore, the war was a disorganised, poorly planned shambles from the very beginning. It was the product not only of confusion but also of the hubris and inflated ambitions of the leaders of Europe at the time. It seems probable that the war arose out of somewhat chaotic circumstances and was therefore tainted from the start, but the question of whether this pattern continued remains. The actual combat side of the war appears to have been shambolic in many cases. This is suggested by the first events of the war. Despite being unyielding in the face of Russian aggression, it seems that Turkey was not prepared for the eventuality of conflict (Economist 2014; Bloy 2002a). When the Russian fleet arrived off Sinope on the southern coast of the Black Sea, the Turkish Admiral was unprepared for battle. His squadron was relatively weak, consisting of only 6 frigates, 3 corvettes, and two small paddle steamers. Additionally, his largest guns were only 24-pounders, and his troops were poorly trained and unready for war. By comparison, the Russian fleet under Admiral Nakhimov was ââ¬Ëvastly superior in numbers, size and gunpowerââ¬â¢ (Brown 1989). The full extent of the imbalance is revealed by the fact that with the exception of one ship the entire Turkish fleet, including 3000 sailors, was destroyed, with the Russians suffering negligible losses. The Turks were not prepared to defend their territories, and probably did not have the ability to do so in any case (Brown 1989). The dramatic outcome of this conflict was a great shock. Few in the navy or elsewhere had anticipated the devastating effect of shells on wooden ships, and as Brown (1989) notes, ââ¬ËNaval and public opinion showed surprise, shock and horror at the casualtiesââ¬â¢. Therefore, even at this early there is evidence of poor preparation and a lack of understanding of how the war would be conducted on the part of the Turks if not the Russians. The same cannot quite be said of the British and French. While many critics expressed shock at the event of Sinope, preparations had been made. The British had tested shells against the Prince George and the French had done likewise at Garve. Moreover, in response to the success of the Russian navy the French began the construction of heavily fortified armament batteries for coastal attack. That this was prior to the declaration of war suggests a degree of naval preparation on the part of the Allies (Lambert 2011). Nevertheless, there were serious shortcomings with the British fleet in particular that suggest both poor execution and planning. In the first place, it was wrongly believed that the Russian Baltic fleet might invade the United Kingdom, which turned out to be unjustified and stalled operations for over a year (Brown 1989). This was a strategic error and what it suggests about execution and planning can be debated. Additionally, when the British fleet went into the conflict it had problems with manpower. For example, admirals were promoted by seniority, which meant they tended to be older than was desirable. More importantly, many vessels were undermanned due to the poor pay and conditions on ships. When Britain declared war these problems had yet to be resolved, which indicates a distinct lack of preparedness (Brown 1989). In recent decades it has been argued by historians that Britain was guilty of extremely poor naval strategy, which would amount to a poor execution of the war on their part. Lambert (1990, cited in Fuller 2014) is among the most famous to put forward this thesis. He argued that ââ¬Ëthe real war could have been decidedâ⬠¦in the Baltic, and won by the full might of a modern maritime power against a continental oneââ¬â¢ (Fuller 2014: 2). When the strength of the British navy at this time, in terms of size and technology, is considered, this argument seems like a strong one. The British navy was notably ahead of its counterparts insofar as it included large numbers mortar vessels and ironclad batteries. Lambert believed that Cronstadt would definitely have fallen to the heavily armed British flotilla, and that the Russian realisation of this fact what forced peace in the end (Fuller 2014). Perhaps, then, the failure of the British to fully utilise its navyââ¬â¢s potential in the Baltic amounts to a strategic blunder. It is doubtful, however, that this part of the war was as poorly executed as Lambert argued. As Fuller (2014) notes, unilateral action (the so-called ââ¬ËGreat Armamentââ¬â¢) against Cronstadt might have alienated the French, who were on poor terms with the British. It might also have driven up the cost of the war to unsustainable levels, stretching the economy to breaking point. This much is suggested by a review in 1856 of the ââ¬ËGreat Armamentââ¬â¢, which noted that Britain could not provide any ââ¬Ëproof of unabated strength and unexhausted resourcesââ¬â¢ (Fuller 2014: 38). This warning was echoed by Sir George Cornewall Lewis, Chancellor of the Exchequer in Palmerstonââ¬â¢s ministry, who expressed concern that ââ¬Ëour financial prospect is very bad, a declining revenue, rising prices, a large loan wanted which will be got on bad terms, and more money lent to Sardinia and Turkeyââ¬â¢ (Fuller 2014: 38). The so-called missed opportunities in the Baltic, therefore, do not suggest poor planning and execution. Nevertheless, one might make the case that the poor financial prospect of Britain by the end of the war suggests a lack of preparation. Another line of argument, directed once again at the British, focuses on naval operations in the Pacific. Stephan (1969: 257), for example, describes the ââ¬Ëtragi-comic nature of tactical operations in the Far Eastââ¬â¢. He notes that despite the overwhelming superiority of the Allied naval forces in around China and the Pacific, almost no headway was made in that sphere. Indeed, the Allies had twenty five ships of war, including six steamers, while the Russians could muster only six which were later reduced to four (Stephan 1969). Poor execution and planning in this case manifested in two ways. In the first place, there was little coordination between the China and Pacific squadrons and the British and French fleets in the area. As Stephan (1969: 258) notes, ââ¬Ëat the outbreak of warâ⬠¦the British Commander-in-Chief of the China Squadron, Rear Admiral Sir James Stirling, was sailing from Singapore to Hong Kong. The rest of the squadron lay scattered among the Chinese treaty ports such as Shanghai, Amoy, and Canton.ââ¬â¢ This arose from the folly of dividing command of the fleet, as well as a lack of information about the location of both friend and foe. Indeed, Stephan (1969) suggests that Stirling (who rather tellingly was only appointed Commander-in-Chief on 4 March), probably did not even know the location of Russian warships. There is relatively clear evidence that naval operations were fairly shambolic on the part of both the British and the French. The same is true of events on land. The Battle of the River Alma on 20 Sept 1984, for example, saw the British forces charge headlong against a fortified Russian position, the result of a ââ¬Ëlack of information and lack of reconnoitreââ¬â¢ which meant that a number of easier routes went undiscovered. The British forces only triumphed because such an imprudent move was considered too unlikely to prepare against. The aftermath, moreover, saw poor execution insofar as the cavalry did not pursue the routing Russians, allowing them instead to fortify Sevastopol and thus draw out the war. This was further compounded when disagreements between the French and British commanders delayed the march to Sevastopol by several weeks, after which the city was heavily defended. The most famous of the blunders was, of course, the Charge of Light Brigade during the Battl e of Balaclava on 25 Oct 1854, in which a brigade of 670 cavalry under Lord Cardigan attacked an extremely heavily fortified Russian redoubt. The now famous calamity during which much of the Light Brigade was destroyed was the product of a simple miscommunication but reflects deeper issues with the British forces related to internal divisions, inexperience, and the unwillingness to question absurd orders. All of this translates to poor execution in warfare. In examining the conduct and organisation of the war more generally it is obvious that there was little sophisticated coordination or planning (Sweetman 2001). At every level of the Allied war effort this was true. Within the British army, for example, the artillery and engineers were commanded by the Master-General of Ordinance while the infantry and cavalry were commanded by the Commander-in-Chief at the Horse Guards, Lord Raglan, which made coordinated planning difficult (Sweetman 2001). Then, of course, the Royal Navy was a separate branch of the military, answerable only to the Lords of the Admiralty. This chaotic set-up hindered the Allied offensive at Sevastopol, as Raglan could not coordinate the British forces on land and sea without undertaking time-consuming and inefficient communications (Sweetman 2001). This is not to mention the fact that there was no overall commander with the authority to coordinate the various national armies of each Allied nation, as had been the ca se during the Peninsula War with the Duke of Wellington. Thus, ââ¬Ëthe entire ramshackle structure palpably lacked coordinationââ¬â¢, and it is important to appreciate ââ¬Ëthe constraints that this put on drawing up strategic plans or executing tactical operationsââ¬â¢ (Sweetman 2001: 16). The Russians were less culpable in these terms, although there were many shortcomings in their preparations. Urry (1989) has noted how the Russian land forces suffered severely from poor provisioning, something which became particularly damaging in the summer of 1854. By September, there were 50, 000 Russian troops in the Crimean Peninsula, but the Provisionsââ¬â¢ Commission was comparatively small and badly managed. Place this in the geographical context and it appears even more serious. Most of the Crimea was barren and sparsely populated, which meant that the troops and animals in the region were more reliant on their supply chain than usual (Urry 1989). The infrastructure necessary to support the Russian war effort was also inadequate in many cases. Roads were of poor quality and transport networks were badly run and unreliable, which contributed to the problem of supplying the troops. Even those supplies that did arrive had often spoiled because of the excessive time it took to transport goods. This situation was improved somewhat when the new Russian Commander, General Prince M. D. Gorchakov, saw the reorganisation of the supply system, but much of the damage was already done (Urry 1989; Curtiss 1979). This is a clear example of poor preparation on the part of the Russians. Poor planning in terms of supplies was also a major problem for the Allies. The most striking example of this occurred on 14 November 1854 when a ââ¬ËGreat Stormââ¬â¢ sunk 30 ships in Balaclava harbour and destroyed ?3 million worth of supplies, coinciding with the onset of the harsh winter. The Allies, however, had only prepared for a summer campaign, and the results were catastrophic. As Bloy (2002a) put it: ââ¬ËThe Alliesâ⬠¦had to make do with summer equipment: tents, light clothes and so on. It took months to re-supply them. Men died of exposure, disease, starvation.ââ¬â¢ The situation was compounded by poor organisation and management in the aftermath, as well as the natural barriers of substandard roads and communication networks (Bloy 2002a). As poor as the organisational side of the war was for all sides, the Russian war effort was comparatively impressive. This conclusion is supported by the fact that the Russian were operating under very difficult conditions. Firstly, the defence of Sevastopol was an inherently problematic affair. The size of Russia required a wide distribution of troops, especially in the Baltic to prevent the Allies landing there (Urry 1989). Then there was uncertainty regarding the neutrality of Prussia, and especially Austria, which meant that troops had to be stationed along Russiaââ¬â¢s lengthy western border. The barren nature of much of the Russian territory, moreover, especially in the south, was an unfortunate barrier that hampered supply, communication, and the movement of troops (Urry 1989). As Urry (1989) argues, these factors contributed to difficulties experienced by the Russians, and in many cases even good preparation and execution would have made it difficult to overcome such facto rs. On the other, one might argue that the decision to start a war in the face of so many natural barriers should be regarded as a major strategic failure (Jones 2013; Bloy 2002a). One area in which all parties lacked planning was medical provision. The low quality of care afforded to wounded soldiers in British hospitals has become notorious primarily because of Florence Nightingaleââ¬â¢s work as Scutari. The quality of French medical care was supposedly slightly better, as is attested by William Howard Russell: ââ¬ËHere the French are greatly our superiors. Their medical arrangements are extremely goodâ⬠¦ and they have the help of the Sisters of Charityâ⬠¦. These devoted women are excellent nurses.ââ¬â¢ Nevertheless, even this relied on volunteers (Curtiss 1966: 98). The Russians likewise had to rely on volunteers, who operated under the aegis of the Exaltation of the Cross (Curtiss 1966). Testimony from the brace medical volunteers in the Russians forces reveals the shoddy set-up in place, especially with regard to the convoy system designed to transport wounded soldiers. This was supposedly poorly supplied with blankets, had few good driver s, and little in the way of food and water (Curtiss 1979; Curtiss 1966). The Crimean War was concluded peacefully at the Treaty of Paris on 30 March 1856 after the fall of Sevastopol, probably to the advantage of all parties. The conflict itself was of little obvious benefit to any nation, with the possible exception of Turkey, which had captured possessions restored to it by Russia (Bloy 2002a; Seton-Watson 1988). In turn, regions captured by the Allies, such as Sevastopol and Balaclava, were restored. Territories were thus redistributed to the participants in much the same way as before the war had begun. One of the most important effects of war was that it prohibited both Turkey and Russia from establishing a naval or military arsenal on the Black Sea, which weakened the Russian position. However, this turned out to be unenforceable and a few decades later Russia had violated the agreement (Gorizontov 2012; Seton-Watson 1988). The conflict did have important long-term implication insofar as it permanently weakened the position of Tsarist Russia, and sa w the ascendency of the France as the preeminent power in Europe. It therefore saw the end of the Concert of Europe, the balance of power that had existed since the Congress of Vienna in 1815 (Bloy 2002a, 2002b). In conclusion, the Crimean War was both poorly planned and poorly executed. This essay has outlined the numerous strategic, tactical, and logistical failures perpetrated by all sides, but especially by the Allies and Britain in particular. However, as important as these moments were in defining the nature of the conflict and solidifying its reputation, it was problematic from the outset. As Clough (1964: 917) puts it: ââ¬Ëit was not the result of a calculated plan, nor even of hasty last-minute decisions made under stress. It was the consequence of more than two years of fatal blundering in slow-motion by inept statesmen who had months to reflect upon the actions they took.ââ¬â¢ Ultimately, while there are many mitigating factors, moments of triumph, and cases of heroism and coordination ââ¬â especially in the medical sphere ââ¬â this is a reputation well-deserved. References Bloy, M. (2002a) The Crimean War: ââ¬ËBritain in Blunderlandââ¬â¢, The Victorian Web http://www.victorianweb.org/history/crimea/blunder2.html [Retrieved 10/06/2014] Bloy, M. (2002b) The Crimean War: comment on attitudes in Britain, The Victorian Web http://www.victorianweb.org/history/crimea/attitude.html [Retrieved 10/06/2014] Brown, D. K. (1989) The Royal Navy in the Crimean War: Technological Advances http://www.worldnavalships.com/forums/showthread.php?t=14517 [Retrieved 04/06/2014] Clough, S. B., ed. (1964) A History of the Western World. Boston, Heath: University of Michigan Press Curtiss, J. S. (1979) Russiaââ¬â¢s Crimean War, Durham, N.C: Duke University Press Curtiss, J. S. (1966) Russian Sisters of Mercy in the Crimea, 1854-1855, Slavic Review, Vol. 25, No. 1, pp. 84-100 Fuller, H. J. (2014) Could Have, Would Have, Should HaveEnglandââ¬â¢s ââ¬ËGreat Armamentââ¬â¢ during the Crimean War, the proposed naval assault upon Cronstadtââ¬â¢s defences and the Peace of 1856: Re-examining the evidence, University of Wolverhampton Gorizontov, L. E. (2012) ââ¬ËThe Crimean War as a Test of Russiaââ¬â¢s Imperial Durabilityââ¬â¢, Russian Studies in History 51 (1), pp. 65ââ¬â94 Jones, H. P. (2012) Southern Military Interests in the Crimean War, Journal of Slavic Military Studies, 25, pp. 35ââ¬â52 Lambert, A. (2011) The Crimean War: British Grand Strategy against Russia, 1853ââ¬â56, Farnham: Ashgate Publishing Seton-Watson, H. (1988) The Russian Empire 1801ââ¬â1917. Oxford: Clarendon Press Stephan, J. J. (1969) The Crimean War in the Far East, Modern Asian Studies, Vol. 3, No. 3, pp. 257-277 Sweetman, J. (2001) The Crimean War: 1854-1856, Oxford: Osprey Publishing The Economist (May 2014) What the original Crimean war was all about, Economist http://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2014/03/economist-explains-5 [Retrieved 11/06/2014] Urry, J. (1989) Mennonites and the Crimean War, 1854 ââ¬â 1856, Journal of Mennonite Studies, Vol. 7, pp.10-32
Friday, January 10, 2020
The Unusual Details About Persuasive Essay 4th Grade Samples That Most People Arent Aware Of
The Unusual Details About Persuasive Essay 4th Grade Samples That Most People Aren't Aware Of Very often receiving gifts makes people think that receiving is far better than giving, which isn't accurate. Everybody should have to exercise each and every day. The school day needs to be shorter. Read lots of chekhov persuasive. Being a real math end of term test, it's the right math for summer holiday activity for kids. Having found the side that you're standing for, you will need to be sure you fully grasp the viewpoint of the opposite side. Our customer support will gladly tell you whether there are any special offers at the present time, and make sure you are getting the very best service our company may deliver. For instance, if a student states the theme of Tuck Everlasting is living forever is a poor concept, you can work with the class to discover various ways to express this notion. Finding fun 4th grade activities can be rather an uphill job. Homework is not just fo r the continued mastering of the 3Rs. Fourth graders are predicted to be in a position to run a very simple science experiment by themselves. There shouldn't be any homework. A Secret Weapon for Persuasive Essay 4th Grade Samples Choosing our service, you are going to see that studying can be simple if you gain from the help of capable experts. We'll manage them, and for an affordable price, as we understand that students typically don't have lots of money to spare. Designing a house takes quite a bit of planning! It is where folks go to raise their health by answering questions very similar to Repsac's. Life, Death and Persuasive Essay 4th Grade Samples Keep your children busy during breaks. It's simple to tell who didn't hand in homework because you only have a glance at the rest of the clothespins! Persuade your sister or brother to assist you talk your parents into something you would like to do. Add in any normal places your kiddies may go on a particular day. There are some easy guidelines to follow as a way to be in a position to compose a great persuasive essay. Before writing down the facts and examples that you're likely to tackle, you ought to be well informed, first of all, about your topic. The word itself is a nightmare to several students, particularly to those who dread writing. Use this case of a persuasive essay to dissect and determine the sections of this genre. The New Fuss About Persuasive Essay 4th Grade Samples Persuasive writing can be challenging, especially whenever you're made to face with a close-minded audience. Essay has been an amazing supply of expression about what you would like to speak about and how you need to describe something. Writing is given much value in school because it is the bedrock of the rest of the subjects too. Disagreeing writers can mention the many explanations for why students shouldn't be made to take part in the daily routine. Students also utilized the debate section of the on-line issues. Before they start to write, it's a good idea for them to make a list of the points they want to make to their readers. So far as the students are involved, writing a research paper is among the toughest and frustrating job in their opinion. The Nuiances of Persuasive Essay 4th Grade Samples It is necessary for a writer to study either side of the issue so as to find out how to beat counterarguments. After discovering our website, you will no longer will need to bother friends and family with these kinds of requests. If you've got this page bookmarked, please be sure you change it to the new page address, since this page is going to be deleted. Proceed to the center of the webpage, go past the ads and begin practicing. How to Find Persuasive Essay 4th Grade Samples on the Web Below is an ea sy organizer some of my students may also decide to use. PaperCoach can assist you with all your papers, so take a look at this time! Students lead busy lives and frequently forget about an approaching deadline. They can complete the activities in math rotations while teacher is able to teach a small group. Jeff Wilhelm might have put it best, If it is possible to read for theme, you can take part in a democracy. Think freely, but you're not permitted to take into consideration anything else besides the topic accessible. In addition, Dalai Lama, among the most well-known transcendental leaders of our time, claims that giving is far better than receiving.
Wednesday, January 1, 2020
The Kite Runner Khaled Hosseini - 1329 Words
As evident in The Kite Runner Khaled Hosseini, Enrique s Journey by Sonia Nozario, and the The River King by Alice Hoffman, fear drives the characters to false illusions that dictate their thoughts and actions, and it s only when they escape the fear that they can see clearly. At a young age, Amir of The Kite Runner begins to grow up jealous of Hassan as he yearns for Baba s love and affection. Amir travels through his early years with Hassan by his side to protect him. However, this leads to Baba favoring Hassan because he, unlike Amir, stands up for himself (Hosseini). Amir hears this conversation between Baba and Rahim Kahn, and so Amir decides that he will change to prove that Rahim Khan had been wrong about the mean streak thing (23). Amir is determined to feel strong, and so begins his search for power. Amir finds that it is easiest to exercise his power on Hassan; Amir admits that When we came across a world he didn t know... I d tease him, expose his ignorance (28) Amir takes advantage of any way he can possibly be better than Hassan, and he uses them to suppress his insecurities. Hiding behind a false mask of slighting strength is a boy ridden with fear and cowardice as Amir loses sight of his once inseparable friendship with Hassan. Hassan is raped and Amir only runs away. This, however, only stirs turmoil within Amir, and soon Amir finds himself lying to Baba in order to protect his now somewhat manly face. He drives Hassan out of his life and neverShow MoreRelatedThe Kite Runner, by Khaled Hosseini883 Words à |à 4 Pagesregret from past encounters and usually feel guilty and bitter about the situation. The Kite Runner, by Khaled Hosseini, revolves around the theme of redemption. Redemption can be used as a cure for guilt. Throughout the novel, the author shows that redemption requires some sort of sacrifice and the only way that is possible is if you can forgive yourself from the mistakes you have made in the past. Khaled Hosseini effectively por trays redemption through motifs such as rape, irony and flashbacks, symbolismRead MoreThe Kite Runner By Khaled Hosseini1651 Words à |à 7 Pagesà à à The novel ââ¬Å"The Kite Runnerâ⬠by Khaled Hosseini describes the life of a boy, Amir. Amirââ¬â¢s best friend and brother (although that part isnââ¬â¢t known until towards the end), Hassan, plays a major role in Amirââ¬â¢s life and how he grows up. Hosseini portrays many sacrifices that are made by Hassan and Amir. Additionally, Amir seeks redemption throughout much of the novel. By using first person point of view, readers are able to connect with Amir and understand his pain and yearning for a way to be redeemedRead MoreThe Kite Runner By Khaled Hosseini1655 Words à |à 7 PagesSarah Singer Major Works Data Form Title: The Kite Runner Author: Khaled Hosseini Date of Publication: 2003 Genre: Historical Fiction Historical information about the period of publication: Since the September 11th attacks in 2001, the United States has been at war with Afghanistan. Their goals were to remove the Taliban, track down those in charge of the attacks, and destroy Al-Qaeda. Biographical information about the author: Khaled Hosseini was born in Kabul, Afghanistan, in 1965. HIs motherRead MoreThe Kite Runner by Khaled Hosseini1098 Words à |à 5 PagesIn The Kite Runner by Khaled Hosseini, we learn a lot about Amir the main character, and Hassan his servant/brother. In the beginning Hassan and Amirââ¬â¢s relationship was one of brotherly love despite the fact that Hassan was a Hazara and Amir a Pashtun. Back in the 1970ââ¬â¢s race and religion played a big part in Kabul and these two races were not suppose to have relationships unless it was owner (Pashtun) and servant (Hazara). Baba Amirââ¬â¢s father had an affair with Hassanââ¬â¢s mother, but it was kept aRead MoreThe Kite Runner by Khaled Hosseini1313 Words à |à 5 Pagesis not unique to just J.K. Rowling. Khaled Hosseini also incorporates life experiences into some of his novels. A prime example of this is The Kite Runner. The storyline of this novel reflects his past to create a journey of a young Afghanistan boy, whose name is Amir. This boy changes drastically throughout his lifetime from a close minded, considerably arrogant boy to an open hearted and minded man. This emotional and mental trip is partially based on Khaled Hosseiniââ¬â¢s own life. Throughout Hosseiniââ¬â¢sRead MoreThe Kite Runner By Khaled Hosseini1908 Words à |à 8 Pagesââ¬â¹In the novel, ââ¬Å"The Kite Runnerâ⬠, written by Khaled Hosseini, was taken place in Afghanistan during the 1970ââ¬â¢s to the year of 2002. Many historical events happened during this time period and Hosseini portrayed it into his novel. Kabul, the capitol of Afghanistan, was a free, living area for many Afghanistan families to enjoy the life they were given. Until one day, Afghanistan was then taken over and attacked. In the novel, Amir, the protagonist, must redeem himself and the history behind his actionsRead MoreThe Kite Runner By Khaled Hosseini1050 Words à |à 5 Pagesââ¬Å"There is a way to be good again.â⬠(Hosseini 334). This quote given by Rahim Khan to Amir holds a great amount of force and symbolism. In theory, this quote symbolizes the beginning of Amirââ¬â¢s path to redemption. The eye-opening Kite Runner by Khaled Hosseini tells about the struggles of Afghanistan before and during the Taliban, and oneââ¬â¢s struggle for redemption and acceptance. With regards to the opening quote, some see Amirââ¬â¢s actions as selfish. However, others may believe that Amir truly changedRead MoreThe Kite Runner By Khaled Hosseini1583 Words à |à 7 Pagesnovel the Kite Runner by Khaled Hosseini, Amir, the main character, shares his thoughts and actions due to his poor decisions. The problems he encountered were all because of the sin committed in his youth. His sins taunted the beginning of his life and gave him a troublesome memory full of guilt. As the novel continued, Amir attempted to disengage the memory of his sin and forget about it. Amir then faced the long bumpy road to redemption. Khaled Hosseiniââ¬â¢s novel the Kite Runner is about sinRead MoreThe Kite Runner, by Khaled Hosseini871 Words à |à 4 Pagesthat person is trying to fix that mistake. This also applies to the novel The Kite Runner. The story revolves around the main character Amir, and his childhood friend, Hassan. After Amir came to America with Baba, his father, he still regrets the things he had done to his childhood friend. He left Hassan getting raped by Assef in a small alley in 1975. Thereafter, Amir always feel regret and seeks for redemption. Hosseini -the author, argues that redemption can be achieved by helping others, teachRead MoreThe Kite Runner By Khaled Hosseini3402 Words à |à 14 Pagestitle ââ¬Å"The Kite Runnerâ⬠is symbolic as fighting kites and the kite runnings are impacting moments in the novel. Hassan was the best kite runner in Kabul, if not the whole country, after Amir won the kite fighting the running of that last blue kite triggered the monumental changes for Amir. For the beginning of the story the kite running was associated with Hassanââ¬â¢s rape and Amirââ¬â¢s grief. As kites appear throughout the story, they begin Amirââ¬â¢s story and also end it. Amir flying the kite with Sohrab
Tuesday, December 24, 2019
Rhetorical Analysis Of John s Speech - 1296 Words
Lesson Construction Template Introduction and Objective John stands at the podium, facing his audience. He begins his speech. You move forward in your seat, straining to hear what John is saying. As you look around the room, you notice that everyone else is doing the same; some people are even cupping their hands around their ears in an effort to hear. People exchange looks and shrugs: They have no idea what John is saying. It seems so obvious to you, but John is completely unaware. He concludes his speech, and you find yourself wondering what exactly Johnââ¬â¢s speech was about. What happened during Johnââ¬â¢s presentation? Why do you think it was so difficult for everyone to understand Johnââ¬â¢s speech? Though Johnââ¬â¢s speech started poorly, do you think he could have recovered and finished strong? How might John have accomplished this mid-speech? Today weââ¬â¢re going to look at the importance of being aware of your audience and adjusting volume and clarity to demonstrate audience awareness. Today s lesson objective is: Students will demonstrate awareness of audience using appropriate volume and clarity in formal speaking situations. Learning Skills Take a moment and think about this lessonââ¬â¢s learning objective. What skills will you need to be successful? Consider presentations youââ¬â¢ve seen in the past. How does a speaker demonstrate that he or she is aware of the audience? How does a speaker use volume for effect? Should volume vary to emphasize a point? HowShow MoreRelatedRhetorical Analysis Of John F. Kennedy s Speech1405 Words à |à 6 PagesMadinger Composition 1 26 October 2015 We Choose to go to the Moon Rhetorical Analysis There are many things that a speech must contain to make it a well written and spoken speech. John F. 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John Lewis held a speech during the march in Washington in 1963, where he confronts the unfairness that colored people face needs to stop, and it has to stop now. Lewis purpose is to appeal to the audience and at the same time send a message to the government. At first, he adopts an upset tone in order to show how unfair the government is, however, towards the end he is more encouraging, wanting people to partake in this act to help them get their freedom. He made this speech to encourageRead MoreRhetorical Analysis Of Barack Obama s Election National Convention Address1518 Words à |à 7 PagesSpeech 1315-302 Rhetorical Analysis of Barack Obama 2004 Democratic National Convention Address In this paper, I choose the speech of the previous President, Barack Obama; Illinois state senator, his speech address to the 2004 Democratic National Convention marked an important moment in the trajectory of African American rhetoric. 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One must always set goals and analyze their growth or the lack thereof. The analysis of progress helps show how far one has come, and it also helps the rate of improvement accelerate. Throughout this semester, I have improved my writing, reading, and critical thinking skills. I have accomplished this by effectively taking advantageRead MoreHaving Dreams Of Being On The Moon By John F. Kennedy1294 Words à |à 6 Pagesthe moon, President John F. Kennedy approaches the podium on September 12th, 1962 at Rice University in Houston Texas to inspire others to have unimaginable dreams of their own. Kennedy produces a dramatically moving speech to create brilliance across America and for all of America, through his own dreams in the context of ââ¬Å"The decision to go to the moon.â⬠Around this time was the height of the cold war and just the start of the space race, with that said, he starts his speech of with I am delightedRead MoreThe Inaugural Address Of John F. Kennedy1441 Words à |à 6 PagesAddress of John F. Kennedy is considered one of the greatest speeches in twentieth-century American public address,â⬠says Sara Ann Mehltretter from Penn State University. The 1960s was an important time period during American history. The speech was said to motivate Americans and unite them to successfully create a powerful government. In a time of d esperation, the actions that the United States government would take to help come out successful was very important for the countries future. In John F. Kennedyââ¬â¢sRead MoreRhetorical Analysis Of John F. Kennedy s Inaugural Address Essay1566 Words à |à 7 PagesBUT FREEDOM: Rhetorical Analysis of John F. Kennedyââ¬â¢s Inaugural Address Tanner A. Woody Anderson University On January 20, 1961, John Fitzgerald Kennedy delivered a speech with a backdrop of snow and a twenty-degree wind blowing in his face in Washington D.C. In his speech, he starts off with saying that his victory is not for a party but it is for freedom. At the climax of his speech, JFK delivers a call to action which is also the most well-known line from his speech: ââ¬Å"â⬠¦ask not whatRead MoreThe Inaugural Address Of John F. Kennedy1654 Words à |à 7 PagesAddress of John F. Kennedy is considered one of the greatest speeches in twentieth-century American public address,â⬠says Sara Ann Mehltretter from Penn State University. The 1960s was an important time period during American history. The speech was said to motivate Americans and unite them to successfully create a powerful government. In a time of desperation, the actions that the United States government would take to help come out successful was very important for the countries future. In John F. Kennedyââ¬â¢s
Monday, December 16, 2019
Ibn Sina/Avicenna Free Essays
string(77) " separate from its existence as we can conceive of it without its actuality\." ââ¬ËIbn Sinaââ¬â¢s renown brought him the title ââ¬Ëthe leading eminent scholarââ¬â¢ (al-Shayk al Raââ¬â¢is). Discuss the significance of his philosophical ideas with special focus on his distinction between his essence and existence, and its role in his proof for God as the necessary existent. Ibn Sina, or Avicenna, born 980 AD, was a leading polymath of many subjects; many of his theories are still renowned today; 240 of (approximately) 450 works can authentically be attributed to him, contributing to mainly medicine and philosophy, but also astronomy, physics, psychology, geology and even poetry. We will write a custom essay sample on Ibn Sina/Avicenna or any similar topic only for you Order Now A devout Muslim and child prodigy, he had memorised the Qurââ¬â¢an by the age of ten, and quickly surpassed his teachers of the Hanafi Sunni school, and by the age of 16 was fully learned in the sciences of his time. After studying medicine, he turned his attention to physics and metaphysics, reading Aristotleââ¬â¢s Metaphysics forty times, until he had memorised it, yet he could not grasp its meaning until reading al-Farabiââ¬â¢s commentary which enlightened his problems of understanding. He began writing his own discourse on this topic and many others on his travels to Isfahan whilst working as a physician to Kings and other important figures, gaining prestige in medical matters and his knowledge of philosophy, theology and metaphysics was widely recognised. Even after his death in 1038 AD, his works have continued to influence philosophical and medical thought; his ââ¬Ëcanon of medicineââ¬â¢ served as the highest medical authority for 600 years, and the translation of kitab al-Shifa (Book of Healing) into Latin served as the starting point for many other prestigious thinkers, such as Aquinas, and this discourse will be further looked at here. Avicenna is considered ââ¬Å"the most famous and influential of the philosopher-scientists of the Islamic worldâ⬠There are many other Islamic philosophers that have attempted to address metaphysics, but Ibn Sinaââ¬â¢s works alone systematically and consistently focus on both ontological and cosmological arguments that are not self-contradictory and address the underlying issue of reconciling the Islamic faith with philosophy. ââ¬Å"Before Avicenna, falsafa (Arabic Aristotelian and Neoplatonic philosophy) and kalam (Islamic doctrinal theology) were distinct strands of thought, even though a good deal of cross-fertilization took place between them. After Avicenna, by contrast, the two strands fused together and post-Avicennan kalam emerged as a truly Islamic philosophy, a synthesis of Avicennaââ¬â¢s metaphysics and Muslim doctrine. â⬠This is the primary reason for his lasting prestige; his ideas in the Book of Healing concentrated not on medicine, but on the healing of the soul and body, and held two key fundamental ideas; the distinction between essence and existence, and God as the necessary existent, a doctrine that has previously not been merged successfully. The doctrine of a ââ¬Ëthingââ¬â¢ (shayââ¬â¢) proved difficult to define for the Muââ¬â¢tazilis, as although they differentiated that a ââ¬Ëthingââ¬â¢ can either be existent or non-existent; they struggled to define where the non-existent entities lay. Using the Qurââ¬â¢anic verse of creation: ââ¬Å"our statement to a thing, when we wish it [to be], consist merely in our saying ââ¬Å"Be! â⬠and then it is. â⬠(The Holy Qurââ¬â¢an 16:40), we can identify that something can exist in mentality before it exists in actuality; God thought of a ââ¬Ëthingââ¬â¢ then willed it into being by saying ââ¬Å"be! and it was. This shows that the idea of the ââ¬Ëthingââ¬â¢ existed before its reality, meaning that the Muââ¬â¢tazilis were able to conceive of the ââ¬Ëthingnessââ¬â¢ of contingent entities, and their universality (of thingness) can either exist in reality or in mentality. They could not address the idea of non-existent things, (maâ⠬â¢dum) such as a square circle, as their impossibility cannot even exist in the mind. This idea opposes the Sunni theological perspective, where they hold that ââ¬Ëthingnessââ¬â¢ and existence are one and the same. They hold the idea of co-extensiveness (where all things are existents, and all existents are things) as they believe that this idea solves the problem of creatio ex nihilo; they did not want to give any flexibility to the idea that things existed before creation, or held eternality alongside God. They held that a ââ¬Ëthingââ¬â¢ was the sum of all its predicates, one of which was existence; a thing could not be without it existing. However, this poses problems for the existence of things that can only occur in the mind, for example, a unicorn. There is a split in Sunni philosophy where some believe that a thing can either be considered as extra-mentally existent, (and so exist just as much as they would in actuality) or some believe a thing that only exists in the mind simply does not exist whatsoever. This is problematic, as we can all conceive of a unicorn, despite its non-reality, (therefore it cannot simply not exist at all), yet we cannot think of a unicorn existing in the mind on the same level as our own existence. Ibn Sina draws upon al-Farabiââ¬â¢s identification that ââ¬Ëthingââ¬â¢ and ââ¬Ëexistenceââ¬â¢ cannot be used as the same copula; you cannot ubstitute ââ¬Ëthingââ¬â¢ for ââ¬Ëexistsââ¬â¢ in a sentence in a way that can make sense; for example, one can easily identify that the statement ââ¬ËZayd exists as a manââ¬â¢ to be appropriate, but one cannot say ââ¬ËZayd thing as a manââ¬â¢, as it is nonsensical. Therefore, Ibn Sina concludes that there is a distinction between ââ¬Ëthingââ¬â¢ and ââ¬Ëexistenceââ¬â¢, and also makes the distinction between existents and non-existents. For Avicenna, ââ¬Å"there are four kinds of scientific questions. 1) One is a question about the ââ¬Ëexistenceââ¬â¢ or ââ¬Ënon-existenceââ¬â¢ of things. 2) Another is about the ââ¬Ëwhatnessââ¬â¢ of things. 3) And another is about the ââ¬Ëwhichness or ââ¬Ëthatnessââ¬â¢ of things. ) Also, there is the question about the ââ¬Ëcauseââ¬â¢ of things. â⬠His distinction between essence and existence not only addresses the problem of the Sunni theologians, but, in his mind, satisfies what a ââ¬Ëthingââ¬â¢ is, and that its ââ¬Ëexistenceââ¬â¢ is not a predicate of thingness, and this argument can prove the existence of God as necessary. For Ibn Sina, existence adds to an essence specific determination external to the essence of a thing; existence adds to essence, an essence can be without existing, for example, the demonstrati on of the unicorn; its essence is separate from its existence as we can conceive of it without its actuality. You read "Ibn Sina/Avicenna" in category "Essay examples" He further explains this with categorising the necessary (wajib) and the possible/contingent (mumkir). Avicenna makes three distinctions: concrete existent, a mental existent and that which is neither of these two. A concrete existent is that which adds existence to its essence: that is to say that it, as an essence, also has existence. A mental existent is that which has essence, but not existence (such as a unicorn ââ¬â it has essence because we can think of it). That which is neither is that which is logically impossible to exist even in the mind, such as a square circle; as it is impossible to conceive of such a thing, this does not even have essence. This solves the problem faced by Sunni philosophers, as it highlights the difference between mental essences without existence and concrete essences with existence. Avicenna continues to demonstrate three further aspects of essences: necessary, possible or impossible. Those that are impossible are those that it is illogical to think about, such as square circles, and as we have already shown, these do not have essence OR existence. That which is necessary is so because itââ¬â¢s very essence implies existence; its denial would involve a contradiction, (which we will further explain later). The possible is that which has essence that has potential to exist; it can either exist, or not exist. This is what contingent beings are categorised as; they have the potentiality to exist, through the cause of another; it cannot exist through itself, as otherwise it would be necessary, and it cannot not exist, as otherwise it would be impossible. Once actualised (through another), concrete existence is added to the essence. Avicenna would argue that mental essences are not concrete existents because they have not been brought into existence by another, so remain as potential essences that could exist, but do not in actuality. So far then, it has been demonstrated that Ibn Sina made the distinction of essences between that which cannot exist, that what can exist if brought into being by another, and that which exists through its own definition of its essence. When a possible essence is actualised through another, and becomes a concrete existent, it becomes ââ¬Ënecessary through anotherââ¬â¢ ââ¬â it must be caused by a cause external to itself. This in turn, must also be caused by another previous external cause, and so on. However, these causes cannot continue ad infinitum- there must be an external cause that itself is not caused by any other being external to itself, that is to say, that the cause is contained within itself, what Avicenna calls necessary through itself. There cannot be an infinite regress of causes, but must be one cause that can sustain and contain all possible causes, but itself need not be caused, as its essence itself contains existence, the Necessary Existent; God. So then, we have tackled the question previously posed of the existence or non-existence of things, what they are (possible/necessary), and the ââ¬Ëthatnessââ¬â¢ (whether it is necessary through another or itself) ââ¬â in turn answering the fourth question set out by Ibn Sina of the cause of things. Proof of Godââ¬â¢s existence from this argument stems from the cosmological argument; an idea from Aristotle that there must be a First Cause in order to bring about the causes that cause others. However, Ibn Sina improves this argument by recognising that what something is differs from the fact that it is. ââ¬Å"Ibn Sinaââ¬â¢s way of making his point is to say that esse [fact of a things existence] is an accidental property of things ââ¬â that is a quality it may or may not possess, without changing what it isâ⬠¦Ã¢â¬ Previously, philosophers such as Aristotle had only considered the nature of things, rather than setting them apart from their physical realisation. The distinction Avicenna makes between physical and mental existence is one that Aristotle had trouble in combatting. The most important text of this kind is Avicennaââ¬â¢s al-Shifa? ââ¬â¢ (The Healing, namely from ignorance). The title was wrongly (but aptly) translated into Latin as Sufficientia, as if Avicennaââ¬â¢s single comprehensive work was a sufficient replacement for the several books of Aristotleâ⬠This distinction was so important that every philosopher after Ibn Sina had to respond; the question was now apparent that there must be primacy of either essence or existence, as he had distinguished that they were not one and the same. Debate has followed Ibn Sinaââ¬â¢s argument, that has mainly taken two paths; Suhrawardi decides that essence is prior to existence, whereas Ibn Arabi believes that only existence is real and essences are how existence presents itself to us. Thus, it has been demonstrated that Ibn Sina was successful in using an argument from reason that signifies God as the one creator, First to cause others, from which we could not possibly exist if it were not for His necessary existence through Himself. This was so profound for his time, as it had only been remarked that there previously lay a difference between the necessary and possible. Avicennaââ¬â¢s distinction between ââ¬Ëthrough itselfââ¬â¢ and ââ¬Ëthrough anotherââ¬â¢ led to the reconciliation of Islamic thought and philosophical reason; there lies no contradiction between our own existence as concrete and Godââ¬â¢s existence as wholly other, beyond our conception of contingent. This argument was so influential on both later thinkers due to his ability to draw upon early philosophical ideas and his faith brought together Aristotelian and neo-Platonic philosophy and Islamic theology in a way that made the distinction between theoretical and practical knowledge; logically acknowledging that the first cause as a necessary existent can only be a monotheistic God, as all predicates, including that of existence are perfectly contained within the very definition of His essence. This theory is reconcilable with Islamic thought as it signals disenchantment with neo-Platonic thought, developing a more personal philosophy that argues for our own necessary existence (through another), whilst still acknowledging that God is unattainably necessary through Himself. ââ¬Å"[Ibn Sina] envisaged a world resting on two pillars: a) Greek philosophy and b) Quââ¬â¢ranic revelation and the virtues of manâ⬠¦Ibn Sina was a highly spiritual and ethical person, considering that, for him, teaching and learning should lead also to rooting in faith deeply in the soul of the individual. This meant that each individual had meaning for their own life, which they could relate back to God, personally having their own cause rooted in the Divine Necessary Existent. Bibliography * Avicenna ; Farhang Zabeeh, ( Ed. Trans. ) Avicennaââ¬â¢s Treatise on Logic: Part One of Danesh-Name Alai (a Concise Philosophical Encyclopaedia and autobiography) (Martinus Nijoff, the Hague, 1971) * Charles Burnett, ââ¬Å"Arabic into Latin: the reception of Arabic philosophy into Western Europeâ⬠in The Cambridge Companion to Arabic philosophy, ed. Peter Adamson and Richard C Taylor (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2005) * F. C. Bauerschmidt, Holy Teaching: Introducing the Summa Theologiae of St. Thomas Aquinas (Michigan, Brazos Press, 2005) * Robert Wisnovsky, ââ¬Å"Avicenna and the Avicennan Traditionâ⬠in The Cambridge Companion to Arabic Philosophy, ed. Peter Adamson and Richard C Taylor (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2005) * Sebastian Gunther, ââ¬Å"Be Masters in That You Teach and Continue to Learn: Medieval Muslim Thinkers on Educational theoryâ⬠in Comparative Education Review, Vol. 0, No. 3, (August 2006) Article DOI: 10. 1086/503881 Web Resources: * Encyclop? dia Britannica Online, s. v. ââ¬Å"Avicenna,â⬠accessed December 11, 2011, http://www. britannica. com/EBchecked/topic/45755/Avicenna * http://quran. com/ accessed 15/12/11 ââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬âââ¬â [ 1 ]. Encyclop? dia Britannica Onlin e, s. v. ââ¬Å"Avicenna,â⬠accessed December 11, 2011, http://www. britannica. com/EBchecked/topic/45755/Avicenna. [ 2 ]. Robert Wisnovsky, ââ¬Å"Avicenna and the Avicennan Traditionâ⬠in The Cambridge Companion to Arabic Philosophy, ed. Peter Adamson and Richard C Taylor (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2005) p. 92 [ 3 ]. The Holy Qurââ¬â¢an 16:40 as cited from http://quran. com/16/40 (Sahih International Translation) accessed on 15/12/11 [ 4 ]. Robert Wisnovsky, ââ¬Å"Avicenna and the Avicennan Traditionâ⬠in The Cambridge Companion to Arabic Philosophy pp. 106-107 [ 5 ]. Avicenna Farhang Zabeeh (Ed. Trans. ) Avicennaââ¬â¢s Treatise on Logic Part One of Danesh-Name Alai (a Concise PhilosophicalEncyclopaedia and autobiography) (Martinus Nijoff, the Hague, 1971) p. 5 [ 6 ]. F. C. Bauerschmidt, Holy Teaching: Introducing the Summa Theologiae of St. Thomas Aquinas (Michigan, Brazos Press, 2005) p. 57 [ 7 ]. Charles Burnett, ââ¬Å"Arabic into Latin: the reception of Arabic philosophy into Western Europeâ⬠in The Cambridge Companion to Arabic philosophy, p. 371 [ 8 ]. Sebastian Gunther, ââ¬Å"Be Masters in That You Teach and Continue to Learn: Medieval Muslim Thinkers on Educational theoryâ⬠in Comparative Education Review, Vol. 50, No. 3, (August 2006) pp. 376 ââ¬â 377 Article DOI: 10. 1086/503881 How to cite Ibn Sina/Avicenna, Essay examples
Sunday, December 8, 2019
Factors Affecting the Stock Market for Currency- myassignmenthelp
Question: Discuss about theFactors Affecting the Stock Market for Currency. Answer: First-time investors in the stock markets should consider familiarizing themselves with the sector to avoid falling victims of the related risks. They have to research in the field extensively and maximize the opportunities to heighten their profits. The stock markets are often competitive, and thus one needs to apply different and more distinguished techniques to survive (Demirer, 2013, pg.82). There are some broad economic factors that are known to impact the stock markets. These factors can either be intrinsic or extrinsic. This paper will majorly deal with the extrinsic factors. They include inflation/deflation expectations, monetary and fiscal policy, demographic trends, economic growth rates, interest rates, supply and demand and taxes (Sardasht, 2014, pg.130). These factors act as the fuel which steers the development of stock markets. The stated factors may either impact the stock markets positively (increased profits), negatively (decreased profits) or even in both extremes. This paper will provide a framework of what the factors are and how they affect the stock markets. Inflation/Deflation Expectations Inflation refers to the rise in the price of commodities in relation to the currency. It lowers the buying power of a unit currency. This implies that the consumers will be compelled into buying lesser goods thus declining the expected profits. This has a negative effect on the economy and calls for a quick action to attain a steady state (Pimentel, 2014, pg.75). High inflation at times stimulates job growth. However, it can as well hinder the companies from hiring more personnel due to the low profits realized. This negatively affects the living standard majorly of the people with fixed income. Analyzing the past trends of inflation can provide relevant insights to the first-time investors in the stock markets. However, this may not provide sufficient grounds for decision-making since such studies may give contradicting findings (Marcet, 2017,pg.33). Inflations can either have negative or positive implications on the stock markets. This greatly relies on the central banks ability to control the monetary policy. The investors are left with the responsibility to gauge the impact of both expected and unexpected inflations on stock returns. Deflation refers to a state of reduced currency which consequently transpires to a higher buying power. In incidents of deflation, the value of a unit currency is considerably higher, and thus a unit currency may purchase a higher amount of goods. Precisely, deflation is the inversed form of inflation. It causes economic stagnation as well as high rates of unemployment (Li, 2010, pg.249). Deflation is caused by the fall in demand of items possibly due to increased supply or a decreased supply of the currency. Though a rare phenomenon, deflation has been historically proven to help consumers in terms of affordability of goods. Contrary, past research show that it has unfavorable effects on stock markets. In the minimal cases of deflation which have occurred, stock market values deteriorated (Pimentel, 2014, pg.80). Ideally, consumers fear to invest in depreciating commodities as things are expected to be cheaper in future (Toraman, 2016, pg.6). This delays the purchases in the stock markets as consumers anticipate low return rates. The need for lending by investors and companies is usually lowered in a deflationary economy. Deflation results in a decline in the stock markets, an incline of government bonds and a sloping of the cooperate bonds. Monetary Policy The monetary policy entails the strategies put in place by the countrys central bank in relation to the money circulating in the economy and its worth (Kurov, 2016, p.1212). This is done to control inflation and interest rates as they have a direct impact on economic growth. First-time investors should have some basic knowledge on this policy as it can have a significant influence on the portfolios and net worth. The policy can be described as restrictive, accommodative or neutral (Kurov, 2016, p.1216). In the incidences of a fast growing economy, the central bank may take steps to bring back the economy to normalcy by restrictive measures (tight monetary policy). Contrary, when inflation is significantly lower, the central bank is charged with the responsibility to acquire the accommodative policy to facilitate economic growth. The effects of the monetary policy to investments can be described as either direct or indirect. The direct impact is evident in cases of the level and the direction of interest rates (Stoica, 2012, p.10). The indirect impact, on the other hand, is realized through predictions about where the inflation is headed to. Demographic Trends Demographic changes in any typical country have major implications for investment risks and returns. The first time investors interested in investing in the stock markets should carry out adequate analysis on the financial markets to provide them with the insights of the possible profits and risks. Some trends in the population change are known to have negative consequential outcomes in the financial markets (Yau, 2012, p.158). A blend of the always declining birth rates and the ever-increasing number of pensioners poses a great threat to wealth creation. This rate threatens the certainty of the first-time investors in the stock markets. To maximize on the prevailing circumstances, it is highly necessary to consider the rapidly aging population in the construction of a portfolio. Recent statistics imply that there might be unfavorable economic fluctuations due to the high rate of aging and the low birth rates. By 2030, the number of people aged 65 and above may increase by approximately 8.6% compared to their number in 2003 (Yau, 2012, p.156). The declining number of the younger population will consequently translate into a low buying power. Ideally, the younger generations have a tendency to spend more than they save. This will lower the demand for all kinds of investments. Apart from the challenges brought about by the aging population, it is also notable that the investment and consumer behavior may also be affected by the questionable rates of immigration. Though most of the western countries have substantial immigration flows, countries with lower immigration rates may have much to fear. First-time investors in the financial market need to have in mind the possible challenges posed by immigration (Marcet, 2017, p.35). It would be wise to invest in more stabilized countries to avoid risks. However much does the demographic trends create risks, it should also be noted that they are as well associated with opportunities. Investors may opt to maximize on emerging market economies. Economic Growth Rates The economic conditions of any state are reflected in the stock markets. A rapid growth of the economy often translates to increased return rates and profits in the stock markets (Narayan, 2013, p.599). These profits draw more recognition by the public as they can earn greater dividends by being shareholders in such companies. The economy of a country is directly proportional to the rate of profits in the stock markets. If the economic activities of a country are reduced then, the stock markets will fall. The recession of the economic activities translates to decreased profits, fewer dividends and the firms become insolvent which may not be encouraging to the shareholders. However, the stock markets can as well rise in a recession. This can be caused by factors such as anticipation effects, ultra-low interest rates, and profits as a share of Gross Development Product (GDP) (Narayan, 2013, p.597). References Demirer, R. (2013). Can advanced markets help diversify risks in frontier stock markets? Evidence from Gulf Arab stock markets. Research in International Business and Finance, 29 (7), 77-98. Kurov, A. (2016). Monetary Policy and Stock Prices: Does the Fed Put Work When It Is Most Needed? Journal of Futures Markets, 16 (12), 1210-1230. Li, X.-M. (2010). The tail risk of emerging stock markets. The tail risk of emerging stock markets, 10 (4), 242-256. Marcet, F. (2017). Analyst coverage network and stock return comovement in emerging markets. Emerging Markets Review, 13 (1), 32-67. Narayan, P. K. (2013). Has the structural break slowed down growth rates of stock markets? Economic Modelling, 30 (4), 595-601. Pimentel, R. C. (2014). StocReturns Under High Inflation and Interest Rates: Evidence from the Brazilian Market. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 50 (1), 71-92. Sardasht, M. S. (2014). An empirical study of factors affecting investors decisions in the Iranian Stock Market: A combined DEMATEL-ANP approach. Aestimatio , 9 (2014), 112-149. Stoica, O. (2012). Monetary Policy and Stock Markets: Evidence from EU Countries. Communications of the IBIMA, 3 (4), 1-11. Toraman, C. (2016). Volatility Spillover Effect from Conventional Stock Markets to Islamic Stock Markets. International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 5 (4), 4-9. Yau, J. K. (2012). Demographic Trends, the Dividend-Price Ratio, and the Predictability of Long-Run Stock Market Returns. CFA Digest, 42 (3), 156-158.
Sunday, December 1, 2019
Porter Five Force Model free essay sample
In the quarter that ended in September 2012 the pharmaceutical companies in India performed well in the US markets and this is expected to help them do well in the days ahead too. The local market is set to see some exclusive product introductions and is itself expected to record a decent level of growth. India Pharmaceutical Industry Information At present there are almost 24 thousand companies in this industry with almost 330 companies in the organized sector. The top 10 companies hold almost 33. 33 percent of the market. In 2012, the industry saw a year-on-year growth of almost 16 percent and is presently worth around 10 percent of the global industry in terms of volume and 1. 4 percent with regards to worth. Exports provide a substantial amount of the revenue generated by the Indian companies. While certain companies are focusing on markets that are not fully regulated as well as the generic markets across Europe and the US, others are looking to operate as custom manufacturers for innovators. We will write a custom essay sample on Porter Five Force Model or any similar topic specifically for you Do Not WasteYour Time HIRE WRITER Only 13.90 / page Bio-pharmaceutical markets have lesser competition and the manufacturing process is rather complex. This is letting a number of companies focus in that area. The 5 leading companies in this sector spend approximately 5 to 10 percent of their earnings in research and development related activities. However, in global circles this percentage is near 15 to 20 percent. Indian companies have been taking various steps for their Ramp;D operations like associating with innovators. Some other companies have changed their molecule license structure for making their milestone payments. Some organizations are also preferring to make their research and development units into separate entities. However, with an overall decrease in research companies are now venturing into generics. In such a scenario the innovation-centric companies are purchasing such pharma houses or partnering with them. The supply in the Indian market is high when it comes to the therapeutic medicines and this is typical for a market that is growing. The case is different for lifestyle drugs. The demand is rather high in certain therapy related segments. However, this is expected to change once the literacy and life expectancy levels increase. Future growth of Indian Pharmaceutical Sector Compared to the similar quarter in 2011-12 the sector is expected to see a revenue growth ranging between 20 and 25 percent. The reduction in the value of the Indian currency is also expected to help the exports. However, the extent of benefit will depend on the level of exposure for each company to hedging. It is expected that Ranbaxy will be making profits of at least 40 percent thanks to the sale of Lipitorââ¬â¢s generic version. Lipitor is the biggest seller among drugs in the world. It is also supposed to introduce Actos, a diabetes drug valued at 3 billion dollars. Sun Pharma has performed well in both India and the US and this is supposed to help its future performance. The USFDA has lifted the ban on Caraco, its supplementary company, and this will help its revenues from the US. In July and August 2012, the Indian pharmaceutical market has grown by 15 to 16 percent. The segment for acute therapies has grown slowly because of the deferred monsoon. This is also likely to make sure that majority of these companies grow slowly in 2012. Barclays Equity Research expects that in the quarter starting after September 2012 the Indian pharmaceutical companies will show an all round performance. Companies like Sun Pharma, Dr. Reddyââ¬â¢s Labs, Glenmark, and Lupin are supposed to perform better than the rest. Angel Broking is expecting that the pharma companies listed in the Sensex will have a commendable growth rate of 23 percent in their sales compared on a year-on-year basis. In case of earnings the year-on-year growth has been estimated at 24 percent. The large cap companies are expected to win the race against the others. ICICI Securities opines that companies that have incurred debts outside India could be in a good position thanks to the present situation involving the Indian National Rupee (INR). It is expected that entities expecting forex losses will see a reversal in their fortunes. One of the likely beneficiaries in this case is Ranbaxy. Pricing issues in Indian Pharma Industry However, there is a fair amount of uncertainty regarding the policy of determining the prices of the drugs. This is expected to be a problem for the industry in the near future. There are three levels of regulations when it comes to the drug price control order (DPCO). It is imposed on areas like bulk drugs, greater profitability, and the drug formulae. This means that the profits of the companies will depend on the decisions taken by the authorities. The government has recently brought out a National list of essential medicines (NLEM) which has 354 drugs that are likely to be subjected to DPCO. This ruling has faced high opposition from the industry members. Challenges faced by Indian pharmaceutical industry The major barriers to entry in this market may be enumerated as below: * Licensing Patents * Distribution network * Consent for plant from regulatory authorities In India the distributors are presently seen to prefer the generic products in order to increase their profit margins. The buyers in India have a lot of bargaining power because of the divided nature of the industry, which ensures that there is a lot of competition in every segment. India pharm aceutical Industry Financial Performance The multinational companies performed well during 2011-12 and out of the 25 top performers 13 were such entities. However, from an overall perspective, the margins were not so good. Majority of the companies saw greater expenses for employees and raw materials. The companies, though, continued to increase their presence to the rural areas and add to their MR strength. India Pharmaceutical Industry Scope It is expected that with the present emphasis on product patents, fresh products will soon come into being. The local companies are expected to face stiff competition from their international counterparts who are supposed to be more positive and direct with their product launches. However, price negotiation will also be an important issue for these companies. It is expected that lifestyle drugs such as the following will be attractive propositions in the future: * Cardiovascular * Anti depressants * Anti diabetes * Anti cancer * Hypertension * Asthma * Congestive heart failures These segments will also see high growth owing to lifestyle alterations expected in the future due to changed patterns and city lifestyles. Contract manufacturing and research or CRAMS is expected to be a major force in the future. Following are Indiaââ¬â¢s major areas of strength in this domain: * English speaking skills Lots of patients with various types of diseases * Capable scientists and doctors at comparatively lesser expense * Observance of global quality regulations With regards to contract manufacturing of drugs it is preferable for both top generic and innovator companies. This is expected to get bigger in the days ahead with more pressure on companies to reduce their expenses. The McKinsey Report states that the market will be worth $55 billion by 20 20 but its capacity, till that time period, has been estimated at $70 billion. Government support for Indian Pharma Industry The Indian government has been fairly supportive of the national pharmaceutical industry since its inception. During 1986 it set up the Department of Biotechnology that was monitored by the Ministry of Science and Technology. From that period, the central governments as well as the states have been offering several special considerations for this industry so that it could grow properly. Some of them may be mentioned as below: * Tax benefits * Exemption from VAT and related fees in several states * Grants for startups focusing on biotech * Fiscal help with subsidies and patents Assistance for companies looking to expand or set up biotech parks in India * Monetary help for utilities, investment, land and more areas * Permission to test on bigger animals ââ¬â granted as per Prime Ministerââ¬â¢s initiatives for this sector Top Pharmaceutical Companies in India Ranbaxy Laboratoriesà : Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited became a public entity in 1973 after being incorporated during 1961. It is the largest pharmaceutical company in India. In 2011-12 it earned $2. 1 billion around the world and its major market is North America. Following are its top products: * Valacyclovir Ciprofloxacin and its combinations * Simvastatin * Ketorolac Tromethamine * Donepezil * Imipenem+Cilastatin * Atorvastatin and its combinations * Ginseng+Vitamins * Co-amoxyclav and its combinations * Loratadine and its combinations Cipla Cipla was established during 1935 and its headquarters are at Mumbai. It has 20,000 employees and its revenue is $1. 4 billion. It is among the biggest generic companies in the world and has more than 20,000 products, 40 dosage form s, and 65 therapy categories. Its products can be classed into three main categories: * API * Veterinary * Formulations Dr. Reddyââ¬â¢s Laboratories Dr. Reddyââ¬â¢s started as a laboratory during 1984 as a maker of APIs. At present the company is worth at least $200 million and has more than 2700 employees and 3000 salesmen. Its products may be classified into the following: * Global generics * Differentiated formulations * APIs * Biosimilars * CPS * CPSIA * New chemical entities Lupin Lupin is based in Mumbai and is presently worth $1. 4 billion. The companyââ¬â¢s EBITDA is 20 percent and going further up. Since 2005 it has been able increase its market capitalization 11 times and also increased its global presence. It is also one of the 25 top pharmaceutical companies of the world. Its products and services may be categorized as below: * Branded formulations * Advanced drug delivery systems * Generics * Novel drug discovery and development * APIs * Biotechnology Aurobindo Pharma PV Ramaprasad Reddy, along with some dedicated medical professionals, and K Nityananda Reddy set up Aurobindo Pharma during 1986. At present the organization is one of the top 10 Indian companies when it comes to consolidated revenues. It also exports its products in 125 countries and gets 70% of its revenues from these operations. Its products may be classed into the following: * Formulations * Peptides * API Sun Pharmaceutical Sun Pharmaceutical is a global specialty pharmaceutical company and operates in 43 markets with significant presence in India and the US. The company commenced operations during 1983. It is the 5th biggest of its kind in India in terms of prescription sales. It specializes in API and Formulation drugs. Cadila Pharmaceuticals Cadila is based at Ahmedabad and is one of the largest privately owned pharma companies. The company operates in at least 90 countries and 45 product segments.
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